March 28, 2024

The ink on the Minsk agreement-2 has not dried, but it’s already possible to speak about the necessity of next Norman meeting. But why? Because the agreement signed in Minsk has no value for Moscow. As Spokesman of the President of Russia Mr. Peskov testified: “Russia is the country, which is called by the conflict parties. This is the country, which called the conflict parties to sign a package on performance of the Minsk arrangements. But Russia is not a party that must carry out this package. This is the country, which acts as the guarantor. It acts with appeal, but, certainly, it’s not a party, which must undertake actions for this purpose. We cannot simply do it, because Russia is not a participant of this conflict”. So, as it’s said: that has nothing to do with me!

Plan of “Ukraine destruction and expansion into Europe” is made up long ago, put in action and will be implemented irrespective of Putin’s promises. So, the behavior of European leaders and Moscow revanchist can be described by the statement of known Russian historian scientist Kostomarov: Putin’s cunning is that he pretends to be a fool, the EU cunning is that they pretend to be clever. The European leaders hold numerous meetings, discussions and sessions, impose sanctions, express any concern. The President of Russia Mr. Putin and his accomplices Mr. Lavrov and Mr. Churkin look with an air of innocence: this is only internal Ukrainian showdown, we do nothing for its pain, there are no our armed forces here, rebels bought an ammunition, equipment, tanks, artillery in the international markets, so we are good boys.

Meanwhile, the world architecture of security has been crashing with increased speed. Since the Second World War it is first time when one state occupied territory of other state and continues openly to commit its aggression declaring the revanchist approaches.

It is clear political leaders act watching the reaction of their electorate who hasn’t fully realised they are in imminent danger to their satisfied and measured life. However, the elite are such strata of society who could see further and think deeply. Behavior of Merkel, Holland and Obama doesn’t testify yet that they are capable to show resoluteness in counteraction of Russian aggression and to protect principles and values of the civilized world. Under resoluteness I mean real actions on the aggressor’s curb, such as military aid grant to Ukraine. Eventually, it is possible like Mr. Putin to pretend a fool and to say that Ukraine has bought new weapon in international market.

In the Baltic States the danger proceeding from our east neighbour is sensed especially sharply. But, I think I’m not mistaken that nations of the former Soviet bloc sense also the same. We expected with the big hope the Minsk Summit – 2. But the above-mentioned statements of Mr. Peskov and conflict escalation in the east of Ukraine after declared ceasefire have strengthened our scepticism concerning the viability of Minsk agreements-2.

But now Mr. Putin cynically uses the Minsk agreements-2 for the break of boycott of him from civilized world. It is no secret that some of his corrupt western supporters were not able to receive him when condemnation of revanchist Kremlin aspirations has shaped the rigid multilevel sanctions. So, after the agreement’s signing it is possible. First of all Mr. Putin decided to visit officially Hungary, which Prime Minister Victor Orban admires him and considers in general Russia as ideal of political model. Putin was engaged in his habitual concern – undermining of unity of Europe. The fact of visit in country that is member of NATO and EU, during sanctions and sharp conflict in Ukraine, is a bright evidence of it.

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